World 3 QUARTERLY INDUSTRY REPORT 04-19-2024 Year 3 Quarter 2 BUSINESS POLICY GAME, 7TH EDITION 14:44:39 F1 © 2016 by Richard V. Cotter, David J. Fritzsche and Simon Rodan ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- FINANCIAL MARKET DATA Merica Sereno | ---Credit Rating--- GDP Index (Nominal) 104.30 109.00 | Interest Rates: No. 1 No. 2 No. 3 Consumer Price Index 102.80 111.60 | Long-Term 6.70 7.30 8.10 Stock Market Index 98.00 | Short-Term 7.00 7.20 7.70 3-Month Time CD Rate 5.91 | ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- REAL GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT FORECAST Actual Values, Last 4 Quarters Forecast Values, Next 4 Quarters Qtr 7 Qtr 8 Qtr 9 Qtr 10 Qtr 11 Qtr 12 Qtr 13 Qtr 14 Merica 98.99 100.00 100.59 101.46 101.04 101.47 101.98 99.26 Sereno 97.73 100.00 100.67 97.67 99.38 103.44 107.84 106.54 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- EXCHANGE RATE FORECAST Sereno 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.07 5.96 6.06 5.91 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Inves- Stock Earn- Divi- tor Shares Bank Time Credit Co. Price ings dends ROI Issued Bonds Loans Cash CDs Rating 1 0.99 0.023 0.000 -21.1 6000 3000 0 2711 0 2 2 1.01 0.029 0.000 -20.0 6000 4000 0 5432 100 2 3 0.99 0.025 0.000 -20.9 6000 3000 0 1206 2000 2 4 0.97 -0.030 0.007 -22.1 6000 2500 0 3657 1000 2 5 0.87 0.031 0.000 -29.0 8000 4000 0 7257 500 2 6 0.98 -0.007 0.000 -21.9 6000 2000 0 901 2000 2 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Income Income Income Sales Bonds Int. Net Fixed Total Total to to to to to Cover- Co. Income Assets Assets Equity Assets Equity Sales Assets Equity age 1 139 10974 16370 12104 0.8 1.1 3.8 22.5 24.8 7.0 2 173 9843 17406 12314 1.0 1.4 4.9 20.1 32.5 6.4 3 150 10662 16451 12149 0.9 1.2 4.0 22.7 24.7 6.9 4 -179 8448 15478 11836 0.0 0.0 0.0 19.3 21.1 2.7 5 249 9110 19184 14150 1.3 1.8 7.3 17.7 28.3 6.3 6 -44 10207 15181 11963 0.0 0.0 0.0 23.7 16.7 5.7 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Key: Company 1 Company 2 Company 3 Company 4 Company 5 Company 6 World 3 QUARTERLY INDUSTRY REPORT, Page 2 04-19-2024 Year 3 Quarter 2 BUSINESS POLICY GAME, 7TH EDITION 14:44:39 F2 © 2016 by Richard V. Cotter, David J. Fritzsche and Simon Rodan ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Sales Market ----Sales (in 000s)---- --------Product Price--------- Co. $000s Share Tot M1 M2 M3 S M1(M$) M2(M$) M3(M$) S(Ps) 1 3689 18.7 367 110 93 96 68 9.18 10.20 10.20 66 2 3504 17.0 335 82 106 85 62 10.20 9.75 10.25 74 3 3740 18.0 353 102 93 98 60 10.15 10.15 10.15 77 4 2986 12.1 237 60 53 55 69 12.99 12.99 12.99 70 5 3397 16.5 325 84 96 82 63 10.00 10.00 10.00 74 6 3591 17.7 348 93 96 107 52 10.00 9.80 10.00 75 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Model Model New Plant Expansion AltmanZ Co. No. Avail Lines M1 M2 M3 S Year 1 1 2 0 0 2 2 0 1.89 2 1 1 2 0 0 0 2 2.01 3 1 2 0 0 0 0 4 1.97 4 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 1.99 5 1 2 0 0 0 0 4 2.00 6 1 2 0 0 0 0 6 2.11 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Q Product Position Map u Features M1 Features M2 Features M3 Features S a 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3 l ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- | | | | | | | | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- |1,2,3| |1,2,3| |1,2,3| |1,2,3| 2 |4,5,6| |4,5,6| |4,5,6| |4,5,6| | | | | | | | | ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- | | | | | | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Key: Company 1 Company 2 Company 3 Company 4 Company 5 Company 6