World 3 QUARTERLY INDUSTRY REPORT 04-19-2024 Year 6 Quarter 2 BUSINESS POLICY GAME, 7TH EDITION 17:18:06 F1 © 2016 by Richard V. Cotter, David J. Fritzsche and Simon Rodan ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- FINANCIAL MARKET DATA Merica Sereno | ---Credit Rating--- GDP Index (Nominal) 127.30 241.10 | Interest Rates: No. 1 No. 2 No. 3 Consumer Price Index 118.00 187.50 | Long-Term 7.30 8.20 9.10 Stock Market Index 106.30 | Short-Term 4.70 5.30 7.10 3-Month Time CD Rate 3.31 | ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- REAL GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT FORECAST Actual Values, Last 4 Quarters Forecast Values, Next 4 Quarters Qtr 19 Qtr 20 Qtr 21 Qtr 22 Qtr 23 Qtr 24 Qtr 25 Qtr 26 Merica 103.29 103.78 105.21 107.88 111.01 111.63 111.55 118.65 Sereno 118.23 126.33 135.42 128.59 127.72 132.50 136.41 139.93 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- EXCHANGE RATE FORECAST Sereno 6.00 6.00 7.23 10.41 10.60 10.88 10.97 11.15 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Inves- Stock Earn- Divi- tor Shares Bank Time Credit Co. Price ings dends ROI Issued Bonds Loans Cash CDs Rating 1 1.27 0.083 0.000 -1.1 6000 5000 500 4972 0 2 2 0.11 -0.333 0.000 -43.7 7400 5000 9814 0 0 3 3 2.05 0.149 0.015 12.6 6500 6100 0 3169 0 3 4 0.89 -0.003 0.000 -8.9 5500 2900 0 2921 500 3 5 0.55 -0.110 0.000 -18.8 8500 6000 0 2158 0 3 6 0.81 0.070 0.000 -11.0 6000 5000 0 3619 0 3 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Income Income Income Sales Bonds Int. Net Fixed Total Total to to to to to Cover- Co. Income Assets Assets Equity Assets Equity Sales Assets Equity age 1 495 12695 22207 14327 2.2 3.5 6.1 36.4 34.9 10.7 2 -2466 10655 10655 -4488 6.5 0.0 -25.0 0.0 0.0 -22.2 3 967 13107 23184 13262 4.2 7.3 9.0 46.5 46.0 14.9 4 -18 7106 13528 9225 0.0 0.0 0.0 32.3 31.4 3.4 5 -931 5185 16147 8774 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 68.4 -2.5 6 419 9133 15789 9151 2.7 4.6 8.0 33.3 54.6 8.7 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Key: Company 1 Company 2 Company 3 Company 4 Company 5 Company 6 World 3 QUARTERLY INDUSTRY REPORT, Page 2 04-19-2024 Year 6 Quarter 2 BUSINESS POLICY GAME, 7TH EDITION 17:18:06 F2 © 2016 by Richard V. Cotter, David J. Fritzsche and Simon Rodan ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Sales Market ----Sales (in 000s)---- --------Product Price--------- Co. $000s Share Tot M1 M2 M3 S M1(M$) M2(M$) M3(M$) S(Ps) 1 8080 27.2 828 218 213 250 147 10.25 10.25 10.25 78 2 0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0 10.15 10.15 10.15 73 3 10782 35.8 1088 288 311 277 212 10.35 10.30 10.35 85 4 4372 14.8 451 140 115 115 81 10.25 9.35 10.10 90 5 802 4.0 122 0 49 0 73 0.00 8.50 0.00 55 6 5252 18.1 550 139 130 145 136 10.35 10.30 10.30 75 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Model Model New Plant Expansion AltmanZ Co. No. Avail Lines M1 M2 M3 S Year 1 5 5 2 0 0 0 0 1.72 2 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 -2.82 3 6 6 0 0 0 2 2 1.91 4 5 6 0 0 0 0 0 1.54 5 2 2 0 0 -1 0 0 1.24 6 4 5 0 0 0 0 0 1.27 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Q Product Position Map u Features M1 Features M2 Features M3 Features S a 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3 l ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- |2 |6 | | |2,3,4| |3 |4,6 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- |1,3,4| |1,3,4| 1,6 | | | | 2 | | |5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- | | 2,6 | | | | 1,2 |5 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Key: Company 1 Company 2 Company 3 Company 4 Company 5 Company 6