World 3 QUARTERLY INDUSTRY REPORT 04-19-2024 Year 6 Quarter 1 BUSINESS POLICY GAME, 7TH EDITION 16:05:08 F1 © 2016 by Richard V. Cotter, David J. Fritzsche and Simon Rodan ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- FINANCIAL MARKET DATA Merica Sereno | ---Credit Rating--- GDP Index (Nominal) 123.20 229.40 | Interest Rates: No. 1 No. 2 No. 3 Consumer Price Index 117.10 169.40 | Long-Term 7.30 8.40 9.30 Stock Market Index 97.90 | Short-Term 5.50 6.00 7.70 3-Month Time CD Rate 4.20 | ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- REAL GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT FORECAST Actual Values, Last 4 Quarters Forecast Values, Next 4 Quarters Qtr 18 Qtr 19 Qtr 20 Qtr 21 Qtr 22 Qtr 23 Qtr 24 Qtr 25 Merica 102.81 103.29 103.78 105.21 108.37 108.20 111.65 110.46 Sereno 112.49 118.23 126.33 135.42 128.70 125.04 130.20 136.91 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- EXCHANGE RATE FORECAST Sereno 6.00 6.00 6.00 7.23 10.34 10.65 10.91 11.20 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Inves- Stock Earn- Divi- tor Shares Bank Time Credit Co. Price ings dends ROI Issued Bonds Loans Cash CDs Rating 1 1.17 -0.055 0.000 -3.2 6000 4000 0 4811 0 2 2 0.10 -0.311 0.000 -46.7 7400 5000 7575 0 0 3 3 1.53 0.107 0.015 5.6 6500 6100 0 3570 0 3 4 0.86 -0.033 0.000 -10.3 5500 2900 0 3722 0 3 5 0.80 -0.116 0.000 -12.1 8500 6000 3057 190 0 3 6 0.86 0.034 0.000 -10.3 6000 5000 0 3260 0 3 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Income Income Income Sales Bonds Int. Net Fixed Total Total to to to to to Cover- Co. Income Assets Assets Equity Assets Equity Sales Assets Equity age 1 -329 11934 20180 14287 0.0 0.0 0.0 22.3 28.0 0.8 2 -2299 11485 11485 -1441 4.7 0.0 -25.0 0.0 0.0 -20.6 3 697 14608 24496 14796 2.8 4.7 6.4 44.4 41.2 12.2 4 -179 7356 14067 9620 0.0 0.0 0.0 28.9 30.1 1.2 5 -989 11435 24244 13811 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.5 43.4 -4.0 6 203 10547 16987 10533 1.2 1.9 4.4 26.9 47.5 5.9 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Key: Company 1 Company 2 Company 3 Company 4 Company 5 Company 6 World 3 QUARTERLY INDUSTRY REPORT, Page 2 04-19-2024 Year 6 Quarter 1 BUSINESS POLICY GAME, 7TH EDITION 16:05:08 F2 © 2016 by Richard V. Cotter, David J. Fritzsche and Simon Rodan ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Sales Market ----Sales (in 000s)---- --------Product Price--------- Co. $000s Share Tot M1 M2 M3 S M1(M$) M2(M$) M3(M$) S(Ps) 1 4510 17.1 445 159 70 100 116 10.15 10.15 10.15 73 2 0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0 10.01 6.17 10.15 55 3 10873 40.6 1053 206 307 307 233 10.35 10.30 10.30 75 4 4061 15.6 405 103 90 96 116 10.20 9.35 10.05 75 5 2548 9.6 250 57 61 49 83 10.10 10.10 10.10 75 6 4566 17.0 442 116 114 111 101 10.35 10.30 10.30 75 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Model Model New Plant Expansion AltmanZ Co. No. Avail Lines M1 M2 M3 S Year 1 4 5 0 0 0 0 0 1.71 2 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 -2.08 3 5 6 7 0 0 2 2 1.72 4 4 6 1 0 0 0 0 1.51 5 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 1.33 6 4 4 0 0 -1 0 0 1.15 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Q Product Position Map u Features M1 Features M2 Features M3 Features S a 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3 l ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- |2,4 |6 |1,3 | |2,4 | |1,3 |4,6 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- |5 |1,3 |5 | 6 |5 |1,3 | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- | | 2,6 |4 | | | 2 |5 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Key: Company 1 Company 2 Company 3 Company 4 Company 5 Company 6