World 3 QUARTERLY INDUSTRY REPORT 01-19-2021 Year 3 Quarter 1 BUSINESS POLICY GAME, 7TH EDITION 11:07:03 F1 © 2016 by Richard V. Cotter, David J. Fritzsche and Simon Rodan ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- FINANCIAL MARKET DATA Merica Sereno | ---Credit Rating--- GDP Index (Nominal) 102.30 107.80 | Interest Rates: No. 1 No. 2 No. 3 Consumer Price Index 103.30 103.70 | Long-Term 9.00 9.80 11.40 Stock Market Index 75.80 | Short-Term 12.00 12.30 12.90 3-Month Time CD Rate 10.61 | ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- REAL GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT FORECAST Actual Values, Last 4 Quarters Forecast Values, Next 4 Quarters Qtr 6 Qtr 7 Qtr 8 Qtr 9 Qtr 10 Qtr 11 Qtr 12 Qtr 13 Merica 102.76 100.93 100.00 99.03 98.18 95.32 96.00 98.96 Sereno 97.16 98.20 100.00 103.95 107.24 108.25 111.97 115.45 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- EXCHANGE RATE FORECAST Sereno 5.97 5.97 6.00 6.00 5.95 6.09 6.03 5.85 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Inves- Stock Earn- Divi- tor Shares Bank Time Credit Co. Price ings dends ROI Issued Bonds Loans Cash CDs Rating 1 0.78 0.028 0.000 -33.2 6000 2000 0 4352 0 2 2 0.77 0.028 0.000 -33.2 6000 2000 0 4332 0 2 3 0.77 0.028 0.000 -33.2 6000 2000 0 4370 0 2 4 0.78 0.028 0.000 -33.2 6000 2000 0 4381 0 2 5 0.78 0.028 0.000 -33.2 6000 2000 0 4376 0 2 6 0.78 0.028 0.000 -33.2 6000 2000 0 4328 0 2 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Income Income Income Sales Bonds Int. Net Fixed Total Total to to to to to Cover- Co. Income Assets Assets Equity Assets Equity Sales Assets Equity age 1 166 8592 15311 12270 1.1 1.4 5.5 19.8 16.3 9.3 2 165 8592 15311 12269 1.1 1.3 5.5 19.6 16.3 9.3 3 166 8592 15304 12269 1.1 1.4 5.5 19.8 16.3 9.3 4 167 8592 15300 12270 1.1 1.4 5.5 19.8 16.3 9.4 5 167 8592 15302 12270 1.1 1.4 5.5 19.8 16.3 9.4 6 168 8592 15327 12272 1.1 1.4 5.5 19.8 16.3 9.4 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Key: Company 1 Company 2 Company 3 Company 4 Company 5 Company 6 World 3 QUARTERLY INDUSTRY REPORT, Page 2 01-19-2021 Year 3 Quarter 1 BUSINESS POLICY GAME, 7TH EDITION 11:07:03 F2 © 2016 by Richard V. Cotter, David J. Fritzsche and Simon Rodan ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Sales Market ----Sales (in 000s)---- --------Product Price--------- Co. $000s Share Tot M1 M2 M3 S M1(M$) M2(M$) M3(M$) S(Ps) 1 3028 16.7 290 79 80 80 51 10.00 10.00 10.00 75 2 2998 16.5 287 77 79 80 51 10.00 10.00 10.00 75 3 3028 16.7 290 80 80 79 51 10.00 10.00 10.00 75 4 3028 16.7 290 79 80 80 51 10.00 10.00 10.00 75 5 3035 16.7 291 80 81 80 50 10.00 10.00 10.00 75 6 3028 16.7 290 80 80 79 51 10.00 10.00 10.00 75 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Model Model New Plant Expansion AltmanZ Co. No. Avail Lines M1 M2 M3 S Year 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 2.02 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 2.02 3 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 2.02 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 2.02 5 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 2.02 6 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 2.02 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Q Product Position Map u Features M1 Features M2 Features M3 Features S a 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3 l ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- | | | | | | | | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- |1,2,3| |1,2,3| |1,2,3| |1,2,3| 2 |4,5,6| |4,5,6| |4,5,6| |4,5,6| | | | | | | | | ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- | | | | | | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Key: Company 1 Company 2 Company 3 Company 4 Company 5 Company 6